Richmond's Next Mayor: Testing the Waters
In this morning's Times-Dispatch, reporters Will Jones and Michael Martz offer what is likely to be the first of many assessments of this year's race for Richmond's mayoral office. In the process, they hit on what are likely to be several hurdles facing the six individuals currently on the "definitely" or "possibly" running list.
- Wilder's Shadow: Everyone in the race is going to have to deal with Wilder, one way or another. In addition to the current mayor's mixed (but declining) popularity and how that will force candidates to attach or distance themselves to his administration, no one can expect the mercurial Wilder to stop running the city between now and November. His policy decisions and public actions over the next five months will do as much to set the tone for the race as anything the candidates try to put on the table.
- Dealing with Anonymity: Who are these people? Even the "establishment" candidates like attorney Robert Grey and Councilman Bill Pantele are virtual unknowns to wide swaths of the city's residents. Building visibility and credibility across a majority of the city's nine districts is going to be a slog for some, an impossibility for others. Because that will cost money -- to the tune of hundreds of thousands of dollars -- look for the corporate community to continue to play a lead role in this political drama. But community associations, churches and other civic groups take heart: Candidates can't reach a critical mass without relying on your ability to actually bring large numbers of engaged citizens to the table. The bottom line is that none of the six candidates have the name recognition to seize too early a lead.
- A Different Race: The TD piece suggests that this might actually be a race built on vision and competency, that with six candidates running on a relatively level playing field issues will lead the debate. I'm not convinced that's necessarily a given, though it would be a novel experience in Richmond. There are some huge issues on the table -- the vision for downtown; the state of our school system; our decaying urban infrastructure (roads, sewers, stormwater); the city's place in regional conversations; the virtually invisible issue of poverty -- and while I'm sure the candidates will be pressed on these and other issues, I've yet to see a groundswell of civic angst that suggests this race will hinge on more than personality, political alliances and a general sense from the public of who might be the better person for the job.
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